Change is on the horizon

Battery 413x289Wind is currently the cheapest way for suppliers to produce electricity, with solar catching rapidly. Rooftop PV is the cheapest way for homeowners to meet their household energy needs. But although over 1.3 million Aussie homes have solar panels on their roofs our nation still produces a LOT of emission from electricity generation. In my humble opinion the only thing holding the electrical revolution back (other than vested interests) is storage.

The variable nature of the renewables means that our society’s current energy habits can’t be fully satisfied without a much greater investment in renewables at a scale that is not achievable by the individual and seemingly undesirable by our government. If only there was a way that the excess energy being produced by renewables during peak times, especially rooftop solar during the day, could be stored and used at night.

Another area where energy storage has been holding the electric revolution back is cars. There have been many excuses the motor industry has given for not producing electric cars: cost, performance, long recharge times, range anxiety, battery lifetime. Tesla Motors has pretty much single-highhandedly addressed everyone of these excuses. Tesla’s latest car, the Model S, is incredibly quick, can go up to 500km on a single charge and is competitively priced with rivals. However, the naysayers out there will still complain that Model S isn’t a car for everyday people (as it is a luxury car with a $100,000 price tag) and that the recharge time, which is a few hours,  is too long as it only takes a few minutes to fill a car with petrol. However, it looks like all the remaining hurdles on the path to the electric revolution (households storing energy from rooftop solar, electric cars being too expensive and the recharge time of electric vehicles being too long) are about to be jumped.

Tesla Motors is creating the world’s largest battery factory, which it calls a Gigafactory. Once the Gigafactory is fully operational by 2020 it expected to double the world’s production of lithium-ion batteries, and bring prices down 30%. The massive increase in battery numbers will allow Tesla, and other car manufactures, to greatly increase the number of electric cars being built, and greatly reduce costs. This extra supply will also help increase availability and affordability of energy storage options for homes, the impact which is best described by this article; here are my highlights:

Just as the precipitous decline in the cost of solar cells and wind turbines over the past 10 or 15 years has made it possible for people to easily make their own power, these batteries will make it possible to easily and cost-effectively store it, freeing consumers from the tyranny of the big power companies.

And it will happen fast, according to Jemma Green, a researcher at the Curtin University Sustainability Policy Institute.

“We’re talking about grid parity in 24 to 36 months,” she says.

“And what that means is it will make more sense to put batteries in and store excess energy during the day than it will to buy power from the grid at night.”

In as little as 2 to 3 years households world-wide may be in a position to disconnect from the grid (although in practice probably wouldn’t want to) and consume nothing but clean energy and zero on-going cost. Although the Tesla Gigafactory will address energy storage, it won’t help with improving recharge times for electric cars, but don’t worry, someone else has.

Researchers at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore have figured out how to make lithium-ion batteries with a new architecture, which speeds up the charging time and increases the battery life by a factor of 10 or more. Thus allowing cars to be recharged in as little as 5 minutes. The best news is that the team believe the technology is only 2 years away from being on the market.

It appears that the next few years are going to see a lot of changes in world of energy storage, which should hopefully cause event bigger changes in global energy generation and usage.

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The world’s biggest carbon market coming soon

China green eco flagA few weeks ago a I wrote a piece about the city of Beijing banning coal-fired electricity by the year 2020. Although this is a great step for a single city, it was only a very small step of marathon journey China would have to take to clean up its act as the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

The good news it hasn’t taken long for China’s next step – which is mammoth in comparison – to become global news. For those interested I highly recommend reading this article by Reuters. Here are the opening paragraphs to wet your appetite:

China plans to roll out its national market for carbon permit trading in 2016, an official said Sunday, adding that the government is close to finalising rules for what will be the world’s biggest emissions trading scheme.

The world’s biggest-emitting nation, accounting for nearly 30 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, plans to use the market to slow its rapid growth in climate-changing emissions.

China has pledged to reduce the amount of carbon it emits per unit of GDP to 40-45 percent below 2005 levels by 2020.

Who resurrected the electric car?

A passion of mine is cars. I absolutely love them. However I am keenly aware that they are a major contributor to the problem of global warming. If only there was a car I could buy that had zero greenhouse gas emissions.

In the 1990s General Motors was the first company to start seriously investigating the possibility of purely electric vehicles. The result of GM’s efforts was the EV1 – the first mass-produced electric car. Between 1996 – 1999 over 1000 EV1s were made and leased out to customers. However after a loosening of regulations in California, which had been GM’s primary motivator for investigating zero emission vehicles, and a collective effort by the major US automakers to prevent further regulations GM killed off its electric car programme and crushed every single EV1 it had made. With the exception of Toyota’s hybrid Prius, the world’s car makers weren’t making headway towards electric vehicles.

Teslta RoadsterFlash forward to 2008 and a new car company, Tesla Motors, releases it’s very first car, the Tesla Roadster – a purely electric, two-seat sports car that was quick! For the first time ever a car company was mass-producing electric cars for people to buy. In all, 2,450 Tesla Roadsters were built and sold between 2008 – 2012 for a sticker price of US$109,000.

With the Roadster’s success other car companies started developing mass-produced electric vehicles. Mitsubishi released the i-MiEv in 2009, Nissan released the Leaf in 2010 and General Motors released the Volt in 2011. Although these cars cost less than a Tesla Roadster, none of them could come close to matching the Roadster’s (almost) 400 km range from a single charge.

Tesla Model STesla then move the goal posts further in 2012 when it released its second car, the Tesla Model S – a luxury sedan, with amazing performance and a range of up to 350/450 km depending on the model, for a price of US$70,000/US$80,000. But although Tesla makes truly great electric cars, they aren’t exactly affordable.

The good news is that Tesla hopes it’s third car will be something suitable for the average person, with a 320 km (200 mi) range for US$35,000. The better news is that Tesla hopes to begin selling the car as soon as 2017. However, the great news is that General Motors hopes to beat them. The race is on!

News that is good, not great.

Coal power plantIf your Facebook and Twitter accounts are anything like mine, you will have jumped for joy in recent weeks after seeing headlines announcing that Beijing has banned coal-fired power plants by 2020.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration China consumes and produces roughly half the world’s coal. China’s hunger for coal is driven by it’s massive manufacturing industry which requires vast amounts of energy. It’s not surprising that China produces more greenhouse gasses than any other country on Earth.

Given China’s enormous use of coal the news of Beijing’s decision was welcomed by me, and I celebrated that the world’s use of coal was about to plummet. However, I should have done my due diligence and read past the headlines – it is Beijing that is banning the use of coal, not China. Beijing will close down coal-fired power plants in its 6 main districts, which produce 0.5% of China’s energy needs.

Although this is no where near as great as I first assumed, it is still good news. As the proverb says “a waterfall begins with just one drop”, and Beijing is the capital of China so hopefully this just the first step of many that China makes to decarbonising its society.